Thursday, March 30, 2006

Ukrainian Election Results

According to Russian news agency Interfax, the results in Sunday's parliamentary elections in Ukraine are now next to ready with 99.4% of votes counted by the Central Election Commission. Thus, only five parties out of 46 have passed the 3% parliamentary threshold, leaving 22,32% of the voters without parliamnentary representation. The results are as follow:
Major parties not represented in parliament are: Natalya Vitrenko Bloc (2.91%), Popular Bloc - Lytvyn (2.43%), Kostenko-Plyushch Popular Bloc (1.88%), Viche party (1.74%), and the Pora-PRP bloc (1.47%).

The division of the 450 parliamentary seats would be as follows:
As for regional division of votes, the pattern is as expected (cf. map). Thus, Yanukovich's Party of Regions won in Eastern Ukraine (blue), the Yulia Timoshenko Bloc in Central Ukraine (red) , and Yushchenko's Our Ukraine (orange) in the West.

Yanukovich Party of Regions won in the following regions of mainly Eastern Ukraine:
  • Donetsk
  • Luhansk
  • Zaporizhzhya
  • Kharkiv
  • Mykolayiv
  • Odesa
  • Dnipropetrovsk
  • Kherson
  • Sevastopol
  • Crimea
The Yulia Timoshenko Bloc won 14 regions mainly in central Ukraine:
  • Kyiv
  • City of Kyiv
  • Volyn
  • Cherkasy
  • Khmelnytsky
  • Ternopil
  • Chernihiv
  • Vinnytsya
  • Sumy
  • Rivne
  • Chernivtsi
  • Kirovohrad
  • Poltava
  • Zhytomyr regions andin the
Yushchenko's Our Ukraine won mainly in the western regions:

  • Ivano-Frankivsk
  • Lviv
  • Trans-Carpathian

The tendencies previously accounted for here, thus seem to strengthen and government negotiations will prove interesting. However, we will see how long Yanukovich - Ukraine's comeback kid - will have reason to cheer. Most severe, however, is the big voter fallout due to the 3% parliamentary threshold. With 22,32% of the voters without parliamentary representation, Ukraine faces an enormous democratic deficit threatening the legitimacy and stability of the political system. This, the OSCE and the international community cannot compensate, no matter how much Ukraine is praised and commended for free and fair elections. After all, losing a fifth of the plebiscite must be taken seriously, for nobody knows where they will turn next time.

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